Noteworthy pattern re-amplification featuring a swelling western ridge and a resultant downstream trough will drive another spell of major heat for BC and the Pacific NW while unsettled weather returns to the GL.

This will put daily record highs in jeopardy for numerous west coast locations over the course of this week and prolong the tenuous wildfire situation as moisture deficits continue.

00z GEFS 500mb height anomalies, days 1-5:

gefs_z500a_5d_noram_21

Days 6-10:

gefs_z500a_5d_noram_41

WPC total QPF for days 1-7:

p168i

Current fire danger forecast with active fires overlay via the CWFIS:

firerisk

Also meteograms for a few locales in BC from the latest 00z NAEFS.

Victoria:

yyj

Vancouver:

yvr

Kelowna:

ylw


Tropical Depression 6 has just recently formed off the western coast of Florida and is set to track E/NE across the state, then out into the Atlantic due to the steering influence of the eastern trough

It’s intensity forecast is rather subdued and the NHC predicts it will remain at depression status before dissipating. If named it would become Emily.

5-day forecast track:

095418_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind

A separate tropical wave in the MDR is being monitored but has a minimal 10% chance of developing over the next 5 days as it gradually heads toward the Lesser Antilles.

Advertisements