As expected, this storm was difficult to forecast and my forecast will be busted for some regions. Specifically my call for 5 – 10 cm north of the GTA and parts of central Ontario was extended too far. This area should have been in the “Trace” area. Also Ottawa looks to end up around 20 cm, as I have already recorded near 14 cms. I had Montreal around 20 cm, but they look to be in the 30 – 40 cm range, even higher amounts in the Eastern townships.
This is because the storm has shifted further north and precipitation shield has really extended west. This means areas like New York City will get much less than expected. Some models had predicted this but not exactly the way it’s playing out.
Here is a satellite image of the beast earlier today: