Interesting week of weather last week as temperatures bounced around from normal to above normal for Eastern Ont and a slow moving low pressure system that produced major rain around Windsor and Southwestern Ont.  Tecumseh Ont picked up over 100 mm of rain over 2 days!

As you might have guessed September was warm.  About 2 – 4 degrees above normal in all of Southern, Central and Eastern Ontario, including Southern Quebec. However, the dry weather continues for Southern Ontario,as most locations only received half, and even less than half their normal rainfall (exception was central Ontario).  Here are some of highlights:

  • Toronto – 24.7c (+3.7 degrees above normal)
  • London – 23.9c 9+2.8 degrees above normal)
  • Sault Ste. Marie – 21.9c (+3 degrees above normal)
  • Belleville – 23.6 c (+2.6 degrees above normal)
  • Ottawa – 23.1c (+2.7 degrees above normal)
  • Montreal – 23.0 (+2.4 degrees above normal)

October looks to be shaping up to a similar month, especially this coming week which has temperatures around 20 – 22c mid week for most of Southern Ont.  Most long range models show seasonal to above seasonal for most of the month, however, the models have struggled a little lately, even the beloved Euro.  I expect things will average around normal (which is around 13 – 15c) as things might begin to cool near the end of the month.  Indications are the really cold temperatures are stuck up in the far northwest and shouldn’t be moving towards Canada yet.

The US Eastern Seaboard should be on alert later this week as Hurricane Matthew Currently a category 4 potentially cat 5 storm, the strongest in many years), currently south Haiti will turn and head north straight towards the Bahamas, alone the Florida coast and potentially hit North Carolina still as a Hurricane near the weekend:113631w5_nl_sm

More on the winter forecast later this week or next.  I’ll put out a forecast for major regions.  My initial thought is for a colder and potentially snowier winter compared to last year, but not a major extreme winter from normal.  Stay tuned 😉