Nice bit of rain in Eastern Ont yesterday, as this area benefited from heavier showers, which was still much need really. Ottawa recorded 22 mm, however only 8mm in Belleville and Toronto only recorded 7 mm , even less northwest of the city with 1.5mm in  Alliston.

After the up and down temperatures last week we are settling back in to the above normal temperatures we experienced all summer.  Temperatures across the area will be 7 -9 degrees above normal most the week with some decent humidity (temperature will feel in the mid 30’s especially in the early part of the week).  Temperatures will begin to cool to normal by Friday into Saturday, especially in Eastern Ontario and Quebec, as another weak front cross the region.

Here is Monday’s temperatures compared to normal:sept-18

Compared to the look come this Saturday:sept-18-sat

The long range models had been predicting things would warm at the end of the month before returning to normal towards October. (Normal is around 18c – 19c).  This seems right to me as I expect the beginning of October may be cooler.  Here is the long range from the NAEFS model:naefs-sept-18

Also the US Eastern seaboard should be on hurricane watch as Tropical Storm Karl currently in the mid Atlantic has the potential to impact the East cost as a hurricane somewhere from South Carolina to New Jersey come next weekend:145559w5_nl_sm